29 May 2008

Coincidence? I think not...

There's an unintentionally funny post at a blog I stumbled over this a.m. regarding Scott McClellan's new book, What Happened. The guy saw a correlation between Bush's falling approval ratings and Scott McClellan's competence as a press secretary. (As if the Bush administration would put an incompetent in a position of importance because of cronyism....) "Even Tony Snow couldn’t reverse the trend," this person wrote.

Somehow I think White House won't go with that. Looks like they've settled on disgruntled former employee sells out for book advance - same as McClellan himself used on Richard Clarke.

A bit of basic logic at Wikpedia gives some other examples of "Correlation does not imply causation":

The more firemen fighting a fire, the more damage there is going to be.
Therefore firemen cause damage.

With a decrease in the number of pirates we have seen an increase in global warming over the same time period.
Therefore, global warming is caused by a lack of pirates.

Since the 1950s, both the atmospheric CO2 level and crime levels have increased sharply.
Hence, atmospheric CO2 causes crime.

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